Permanent record · RIR–3012
Scenario Planning for the Digital Transformation of Dutch Higher Education Systems by 2040
This research explores potential future trajectories for Dutch higher education, emphasizing the integration of digital technologies and the resulting systemic shifts in pedagogical and administrative models.
What are the plausible future scenarios for the Dutch higher education system in response to accelerating digital transformation by 2040?
Knowledge gap
What remains worth asking
Current foresight studies lack comprehensive scenario modeling that accounts for the specific intersection of Dutch institutional autonomy and rapid technological disruption.
Potential contribution
Why it may matter
Assists university leadership in strategic planning and resilience building against long-term systemic volatility.
Academic placement
OECD fields and topic tags
Scope: Applicable to the Dutch higher education sector and European policy frameworks. · Method signals: Scenario Planning, Delphi Method
Possible study pathways
One question, different levels
Strategic management of digital change in educational institutions.
Methodological development of scenario planning in public sector systems.
Long-term systemic evolution of higher education under digital disruption.
Qualification signal
91/100
- Employs rigorous foresight techniques.
- Highly relevant for institutional strategic planning.
- Open-access scholarly source and DOI metadata verified
Provenance
Research Idea Registry curation
- DOI and bibliographic metadata independently resolved
- Open-access status verified
- The research direction is transparently marked as AI-inferred
APA 7 source
Blankesteijn, M. L., & Ghorbani, A. (2025). Embracing the digital horizon: Future scenarios for the Dutch higher education system. Futures, 174, 103702. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103702
Paper abstract and discussion context; AI-inferred direction
Open source ↗